Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030572 0.033334 0.036062 0.038953 0.041924 0.044883 0.048051
2024-12-22 0.024400 0.028823 0.033307 0.038168 0.043266 0.048435 0.054053
2024-12-29 0.020494 0.026018 0.031748 0.038073 0.044806 0.051718 0.059310
2025-01-05 0.017283 0.023571 0.030236 0.037712 0.045773 0.054130 0.063385
2025-01-12 0.014516 0.021344 0.028742 0.037167 0.046356 0.055965 0.066681
2025-01-19 0.011590 0.018701 0.026607 0.035764 0.045870 0.056531 0.068500
2025-01-26 0.010474 0.018044 0.026610 0.036635 0.047781 0.059600 0.072921
2025-02-02 0.009028 0.016879 0.025950 0.036697 0.048740 0.061582 0.076117
2025-02-09 0.007237 0.015148 0.024544 0.035842 0.048624 0.062340 0.077937
2025-02-16 0.006230 0.014323 0.024146 0.036087 0.049687 0.064346 0.081069
2025-02-23 0.005163 0.013325 0.023487 0.035988 0.050328 0.065856 0.083629
2025-03-02 0.004145 0.012294 0.022733 0.035739 0.050765 0.067110 0.085880
2025-03-09 0.003279 0.011496 0.022366 0.036083 0.052047 0.069490 0.089582
2025-03-16 0.002057 0.009987 0.021069 0.035338 0.052119 0.070575 0.091926
2025-03-23 0.001270 0.008982 0.020355 0.035248 0.052914 0.072440 0.095106
2025-03-30 0.000594 0.007904 0.019466 0.034897 0.053370 0.073894 0.097802
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.006810 0.018473 0.034368 0.053579 0.075040 0.100125
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005369 0.016862 0.033004 0.052765 0.074993 0.101090
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005149 0.017017 0.033851 0.054541 0.077864 0.105284
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004568 0.016576 0.033911 0.055363 0.079633 0.108230
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003626 0.015477 0.033081 0.055096 0.080136 0.109740
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003225 0.015214 0.033319 0.056092 0.082069 0.112835
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002718 0.014715 0.033223 0.056669 0.083506 0.115358